Switzerland: Budget surplus to decline
Economic growth is expected to slow to about 2% in 2008 and 2009, close to the potential rate, with a diminished contribution from net exports. Employment should continue rising, although unemployment may not fall much further. Inflation is projected to rise modestly, reflecting past oil price rises and a high level of capacity utilisation. The government budget surplus will decline.
Should economic growth remain solid in 2008, as projected, a further quarter point increase in policy interest rates is likely to be necessary. Comprehensive removal of remaining non-tariff trade barriers vis à vis the EU would stimulate competition and trade, raising supply capacity, as would further measures to facilitate market entry in network industries.
No. 264/265, December/January 2008
• OECD Economic Outlook No. 82, December 2007
• Visit www.oecd.org/switzerland
• All OECD Observer articles on Switzerland