Finland: Abrupt deterioration

Economic conditions in Finland deteriorated abruptly through the winter. Falling exports explain the major part of the decline in GDP although destocking, household consumption and dwelling investment also contributed.

Growth will drop sharply in 2009 and recover only slowly in 2010 as world trade picks up. The unemployment rate has begun to climb sharply, and is expected to rise through the projection period. Inflation has remained above the euro area average on the back of the high wages negotiated through 2007.

The government has responded with assistance to banks to maintain liquidity and confidence, and a relatively modest fiscal stimulus package to support activity. The fiscal balance will fall significantly but will not deteriorate to the levels of many other OECD countries given the strong structural position coming into the downturn. Using the room for further fiscal stimulus would help support domestic demand. To sustain competitiveness, the upcoming wage negotiations should focus on aligning outcomes more closely to productivity at the firm level. Deeper reforms are needed to improve labour market flexibility.

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See also

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©OECD Observer No 274, July 2009

Economic data

GDP growth: +0.6% Q4 2017 year-on-year
Consumer price inflation: 2.2% Jan 2018 annual
Trade: +2.7% exp, +3.0% imp, Q4 2017
Unemployment: 5.5% Jan 2018
Last update: 12 Mar 2018


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