China: A strong rebound

The Chinese economy is now rebounding strongly from the slowdown in the autumn of 2008, thanks to sizeable monetary and fiscal stimuli. Real GDP growth is projected at 7.7% this year and 9.3% in 2010, with some rebalancing towards domestic demand.

However, with growth still below potential, downward pressures on prices are expected to linger.

A pick-up in credit growth is helping the economy regain momentum, but it will be important for financial sector supervisors to keep an eye on the quality of banks' portfolios. Given the low level of public debt and ample cash holdings, the government has room for further fiscal expansion to boost activity in 2010 if the recovery does not spread beyond the infrastructure sector, but any package should be oriented to social rather than construction outlays.

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See also www.oecd.org/china

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©OECD Observer No 274, July 2009




Economic data

GDP growth: +0.2% Q4 2019
Consumer price inflation: 1.7% March 2020
Trade (G20): -0.1% exp, -1.3% imp, Q4 2019
Unemployment: 5.6% March 2020
Sharp drop in OECD leading indicators point to darker outlook: Last update: 14 May 2020

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