Ireland: Prolonged adjustments

The economy is experiencing a severe recession as large domestic imbalances correct, but there are recent signs that the pace of contraction is slowing. Ireland should benefit from the world trade upswing along with restored competitiveness as a result of the decline in wages and prices. The ongoing domestic adjustment will nevertheless be prolonged, and the economic recovery weak.

The budget deficit has swelled and public indebtedness has increased sharply. Substantial fiscal consolidation measures are already in place, but more will be needed over an extended period, which will require both further increases in revenues and cuts in public expenditure. With NAMA (the National Asset Management Agency), the government seeks to restore the banking system to health by recognising and dealing swiftly with losses, thus contributing to the recovery. This should be implemented along with the necessary risk-sharing mechanisms to protect the taxpayer.

©OECD Observer 2010

Economic data

GDP growth: -9.8% Q2/Q1 2020 2020
Consumer price inflation: 1.3% Sep 2020 annual
Trade (G20): -17.7% exp, -16.7% imp, Q2/Q1 2020
Unemployment: 7.3% Sep 2020
Last update: 10 Nov 2020

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