Maddison spearheaded the first comprehensive analysis–he would call it the first attempted analysis, with his usual caution–of financial flows to developing countries.
Following a period as director of the OECD’s technical assistance programme to Greece, Portugal, Turkey and Yugoslavia, Maddison joined the Development Centre as a research fellow in 1964. Thus began a relationship that was to continue for the rest of his life.
Maddison worked on so many issues that I cannot detail them all here. On behalf of the Development Centre, he provided technical assistance to countries as diverse as Brazil (under a military dictatorship), Guinea, Mongolia and the Soviet Union. He wrote a landmark study on growth compared between Japan and the Soviet Union in 1966. After a brief period away from the OECD, Maddison returned in 1971 to compile the first Yearbook of Education Statistics, which, of course, is one of the roots of our renowned PISA. He went on to study problems of welfare and income distribution, which had come to the fore during the post-war boom and the growth of the welfare state in some countries. These problems of equity and wealth distribution are now very much on the agenda in the emerging economies of the world.
By 1979, Maddison had switched again. This time, he was behind the publication of Measuring Employment and Unemployment, a major contribution to the OECD’s attempts to standardise definitions of employment and, hence, provide accurate information.
Measuring Employment and Unemployment was the last study Angus wrote at the OECD before his departure to the University of Groningen in the Netherlands. But it was, happily, not his last study for us.
On the contrary, Maddison remained firmly attached to the Development Centre and to its special position within the OECD, and it was natural that he turned to the Development Centre as he prepared the first of his outstanding works on the world economy, The World Economy in the Twentieth Century, published by the OECD in 1989.
The follow-up study, Monitoring the World Economy 1820-1992, was a taste of what was to come in his seminal, The World Economy: A Millennial Perspective, a remarkable work that traces the evolution of the world economy over a thousand years! Two years later, Maddison revised all his statistics and the OECD published them, so that other scholars could build on his extraordinary work.
Maddison’s excellent works from the OECD and elsewhere rely on statistics and analysis. His ability to render a mass of statistical information into ordinary, concise language has made his unique body of work accessible even to the casual, non-specialist reader. This is an important resource for those tracing back our economic history, and a lesson that everyone should take to heart! In this rich body of work, readers will find much about China. This is also part of Angus Maddison’s legacy. Twelve years ago, the OECD published a Development Centre study by Maddison that generated much controversy in the West and some satisfaction in China. The visionary, but always evidence-based, Chinese Economic Performance in the Long Run announced that China was retrieving its “historical position” as the world’s largest economy. He repeated this claim in a 2002 article in OECD Observer (see www.oecdobserver.org). The 2007 revised and updated edition concluded that China was catching up so fast that, in PPP terms, its economy would overtake that of the US as the world’s largest by 2015 or earlier. The rest, you might say, is history.
Many of Maddison’s broad economic forecasts have come true and others will no doubt do so. What a pity he will not be here to see them materialise. Angus Maddison is survived by his wife, Penny, and three children.
Tribute
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Professor Angus Maddison, who died on 24 April, was an outstanding economist and OECD legend. In fact, Maddison joined the OECD even before it existed. In 1952, he became a member of what was then the Economic and Statistics Directorate of the Organisation for European Economic Co-operation, the OEEC. When the OEEC became the OECD in 1961, he took his lifelong obsession with statistics, measurement and accuracy to the problems of development.
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